England – Guaranteed to progress, at least as a third-placed team. – Lead the group on goal difference ahead of Ghana and face Panama on Saturday (20:00 BST). – To stay top and draw a third-placed opponent next, they must match or better Ghana’s result against Croatia. – If both matches are drawn, England win the group. – If both win, first place is decided on goal difference: England are +2, Ghana +1, with England having scored three more goals. – If goal difference finishes level, disciplinary record decides it (England -1, Ghana -2). If still tied, FIFA world ranking would give England the edge.
Ghana – Already qualified and will finish in the top two with a win or draw against Croatia. – They top the group if they better England’s result, or win by enough to overturn the goal-difference gap. – If they lose, they drop to third but still have sufficient points to advance.
Croatia – Must beat Ghana to qualify automatically. If they win and England drop points, Croatia take first place. – A draw secures progression in third. – A defeat eliminates them.
Panama – Yet to register a point and already out.