Football betting expert and renowned tipster Jones Knows shares his analysis ahead of an exciting Super Sunday featuring a clash between Arsenal and Manchester City.
Bournemouth vs Newcastle United, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports
Live Super Sunday
Andoni Iraola is making a name for himself with his strategic approach against Eddie Howe.
When these two teams face off, Iraola’s tactics often disrupt Newcastle’s physical style of play. His squads excel at closing down spaces, breaking up offensive flow, and executing quick counterattacks.
This combination of strong defense and rapid transition play has left Howe’s teams at a disadvantage. In their encounters, Iraola remains unbeaten against Howe, with two wins and solid underlying stats that show Bournemouth’s superiority against Newcastle.
In their four meetings, Iraola’s sides have maintained an impressive expected goals average of 2.4 per 90 minutes. The odds for a Bournemouth home win are enticing at 13/10 with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Sunderland vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports
The recent decline of Aston Villa has been unexpected.
While they remain favorites at 11/10 with Sky Bet, it’s challenging to have faith in their ability to secure a win given their current struggles.
Key issues include a distinct lack of sharpness in the attacking third, resulting in very few chances created. Failing to score in four consecutive matches is concerning, especially considering their expected goals tally of just 0.77 per 90 minutes from comparatively manageable fixtures—only Wolves have fared worse.
Taking this goal-scoring slump to the Stadium of Light, where the local fanbase provides a strong home advantage, doesn’t bode well for Villa as they search for a spark.
Backing the home side with a draw no bet at 6/4 from Sky Bet seems like the most prudent choice.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Arsenal vs Manchester City, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports
The matchup between Gabriel Magalhaes and Erling Haaland is always a captivating subplot when these two teams clash.
Given the rivalry’s intensity, there are valuable betting opportunities regarding Haaland’s foul count. In their previous eight encounters, Haaland has committed 16 fouls against Gabriel, averaging two per game.
This increased foul rate is not typically reflected in betting odds, presenting us with an opportunity for profit.
With odds of 11/4 on Haaland to commit more than two fouls, this suggests only a 26% chance, but I would estimate his odds closer to 50% based on the fiery nature of the match, where Arsenal is expected to have the upper hand.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Erling Haaland to commit +2 fouls (11/4 with Sky Bet)
Jones Knows’ Best Bets:
- 1pt double on Liverpool to win & under 3.5 goals & under 2.5 goals in Brighton vs Tottenham (4/1 with Sky Bet)
- 1pt on Erling Haaland to commit +2 fouls (11/4 with Sky Bet)