As the race for a Champions League spot intensifies, there are 81 different combinations of results that could emerge this Sunday night. Here’s what Roma, Milan, Juventus, and Como need to secure a top-four finish.
All matches are set to kick off at 19:45 UK time (20:45 CEST).
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This simultaneous start time is in place to maintain fairness, ensuring no team gains an advantage by knowing the outcome of other matches beforehand.
COMO, ITALY – MARCH 15: Nico Paz of Como 1907 faces off against Gianluca Mancini of AS Roma during the Serie A match at Giuseppe Sinigaglia Stadium on March 15, 2026, in Como, Italy. (Photo by Marco Luzzani/Getty Images)
In Serie A, goal difference does not come into play, so if two or more teams end up with the same points, their ranking is determined by their head-to-head results.
With four games already played and only two Champions League spots remaining, a scenario could arise where if both the Rossoneri and Roma draw while Como and Juventus win, all four teams would be tied at 71 points.
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In that case, a mini-league would be created to assess all their head-to-head results.
ROME, ITALY – JANUARY 25: Lorenzo Pellegrini of AS Roma celebrates scoring from the penalty spot during the Serie A clash with AC Milan at Stadio Olimpico on January 25, 2026, in Rome, Italy. (Photo by Paolo Bruno/Getty Images)
This would position Max Allegri’s squad at 10 points (+3 goal difference), Como at 10 points (+2 goal difference), with Juventus at 6 points and Roma at 5 points, leading to the top two teams qualifying for the Champions League.
They would be ranked based on points first, then goal difference, followed by goals scored, and if needed, they would resort to drawing lots.
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Now let’s analyze the records:
GENOA, ITALY – MAY 17: Massimiliano Allegri, head coach of AC Milan, observes prior to the kickoff of the Serie A match between Genoa CFC and AC Milan at Stadio Luigi Ferraris on May 17, 2026, in Genoa, Italy. (Photo by Simone Arveda/Getty Images)
Milan 70 points
Vs Juventus: Behind (level H2H, inferior overall goal difference)
Vs Roma: Ahead
Vs Como: Ahead
Vs Juventus and Roma: Juventus, Milan, Roma
Vs Juventus and Como: Como, Milan, Juventus
Vs Roma and Como: Milan, Roma, Como
Vs Juventus, Roma, and Como: Milan, Como, Juventus, Roma
Roma 70 points
Vs Juventus: Behind
Vs Milan: Behind
Vs Como: Behind (equal H2H, inferior overall goal difference)
Vs Juventus and Milan: Juventus, Milan, Roma
Vs Juventus and Como: Como, Roma, Juventus
Vs Milan and Como: Milan, Roma, Como
Vs Juventus, Milan, and Como: Milan, Como, Juventus, Roma
Como 68 points
Vs Juventus: Ahead
Vs Milan: Behind
Vs Roma: Ahead (equal H2H, superior overall goal difference)
Vs Juventus and Milan: Como, Milan, Juventus
Vs Juventus and Roma: Como, Roma, Juventus
Vs Milan and Roma: Milan, Roma, Como
Vs Juventus, Milan, and Roma: Milan, Como, Juventus, Roma
SASSUOLO, ITALY – APRIL 17: Cesc Fabregas, Head Coach of Como 1907, looks on before the Serie A match against US Sassuolo Calcio at Mapei Stadium Citta del Tricolore on April 17, 2026, in Sassuolo, Italy. (Photo by Alessandro Sabattini/Getty Images)
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Juventus 68 points
Vs Milan: Ahead (equal H2H, superior overall goal difference)
Vs Roma: Ahead
Vs Como: Behind
Vs Milan and Roma: Juventus, Milan, and Roma
Vs Milan and Como: Como, Milan, Juventus
Vs Roma and Como: Como, Roma, Juventus
Vs Milan, Roma, and Como: Milan, Como, Juventus, Roma
TURIN, ITALY – MAY 17: Kenan Yildiz of Juventus FC during the Serie A match against ACF Fiorentina at Allianz Stadium on May 17, 2026, in Turin, Italy. (Photo by Chris Ricco/Getty Images)